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Home > Investor Relations > Earnings Forecast

Earnings Forecast

[Consolidated Business Outlook]

Announcement on May 11, 2012

(Millions of yen)

  FY 2011
(results)
FY 2012
(forecasts)
YoY comparisons
Change (%)
Billings 978,321 1,037,000 58,678 6.0%
Revenue 160,756 172,500 11,743 7.3%
(Gross margin) (16.4%) (16.6%) (+0.2%)  
SG&A expenses 140,940 149,000 8,059 5.7%
Operating income 19,816 23,500 3,683 18.6%
(Operating margin) (12.3%) (13.6%) (+1.3%)  
Non-operating items 2,129 2,100 (29)  
Ordinary income 21,945 25,600 3,654 16.7%
Extraordinary items (1,590) (1,000) 590  
Income before income taxes and minority interests 20,355 24,600 4,244 20.9%
Net income 8,604 11,500 2,895 33.6%
Dividend per share ¥70 ¥80    
  FY 2011
(results)
FY 2012
(forecasts)
YoY comparisons
Change (%)
Billings 430,994 476,000 45,005 10.4%
Revenue 70,363 78,200 7,836 11.1%
(Gross margin) (16.3%) (16.4%) (+0.1%)  
SG&A expenses 67,874 72,400 4,525 6.7%
Operating income 2,488 5,800 3,311 133.0%
(Operating margin) (3.5%) (7.4%) (+3.9%)  
Non-operating items 1,368 1,200 (168)  
Ordinary income 3,857 7,000 3,142 81.4%
Extraordinary items (1,680) (500) 1,180  
Income before income taxes and minority interests 2,177 6,500 4,322 198.5%
Net income (889) 2,800 3,689 -
Dividend per share ¥35 ¥40    
  FY 2011
(results)
FY 2012
(forecasts)
YoY comparisons
Change (%)
Billings 547,327 561,000 13,673 2.5%
Revenue 90,393 94,300 3,906 4.3%
(Gross margin) (16.5%) (16.8%) (+0.3%)  
SG&A expenses 73,066 76,600 3,533 4.8%
Operating income 17,327 17,700 372 2.2%
(Operating margin) (19.2%) (18.8%) (-0.4%)  
Non-operating items 760 900 139  
Ordinary income 18,088 18,600 512 2.8%
Extraordinary items 89 (500) (589)  
Income before income taxes and minority interests 18,178 18,100 (77) -0.4%
Net income 9,493 8,700 (794) -8.4%
Dividend per share ¥35 ¥40    

(Operating margin = Operating income/Revenue)

[ Summary of the Company's Rationale in forecasts ]

  • Robust growth is projected for Japan's advertising market during the fiscal year ending March 31, 2013 . For the Hakuhodo DY Group, the year will also mark the conclusion of its medium-term business plan. Accordingly, the Group will endeavor this term to further reinforce structures and boost profit levels even higher in a push to achieve plan objectives.
  • The following is a summary of the Company's rationale regarding the above consolidated business forecasts.
  • Macro environment: Japan's advertising market in the year ending March 2013 will likely be supported by economic recovery and a rebound in corporate business performance, along with a push mainly from demand related to recovery efforts and other factors counteracting the March 11, 2011 disaster. Although many causes for concern beyond the European debt crisis and the yen's appreciation persist, firm advertising market performance is expected to result in year-on-year growth for the full term.
  • Billings: In this climate, the Group aims to grow above the market average through steady enactment of the strategic initiatives outlined in its medium-term business plan and by expanding its market share. As a result, full-year billings are expected to grow 6.0% to \1,037 billion. First-half billings are projected to rise substantially higher year on year, mainly reflecting the absence of the Great East Japan Earthquake's impact during the same period a year earlier.
  • Operating income: The Group will take steps to raise its already high gross margin even further, recognizing that profits will accompany billings expansion. In SG&A expenses, the Group will seek to improve its operating margin by maintaining the structure it has built to control expenses and holding the rate of growth in expenses to below that of revenue. In addition to continued investment and strategic allocation of certain expenses necessary for share expansion, efforts will include remaining constantly aware of the need to enhance efficiency and consolidate expenses. As a result, full-year operating income is projected to increase \3.6 billion for the year, to \23.5 billion. However, the Group will strive to lift profit levels to meet the target of \28.0 billion outlined in its medium-term business plan.
  • Ordinary income: Ordinary income, including dividend income, equity in investment income from affiliates, and other non-operating items, is projected to be \25.6 billion, or \3.6 billion higher year on year.
  • Net income: No significant extraordinary items are forecast at this time. Consequently, net income is projected to climb \2.8 billion year on year, to \11.5 billion.
  • Based on a fundamental stance of providing a stable dividend, and in comprehensive evaluation of mainly a recovery trend in earnings, we plan to pay a dividend per share of ¥80 in the year ending March 31, 2013, up \10 from the year ended March 31, 2012.

[ Forward-looking Statements ]

Forecasts are based on certain assumptions deemed to be reasonable by the Company at the time of announcement. Actual results may differ materially from these forecasts due to a variety of reasons.